Utah State
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
85  Dillon Maggard JR 31:46
309  Colby Wilson SR 32:32
447  Adam Hendrickson FR 32:50
529  Darren Harman FR 32:58
560  Luke Beattie FR 33:01
858  James Withers FR 33:32
867  Tyler Roberts JR 33:33
910  Clay Lambourne SO 33:36
942  Jordan Beutler JR 33:39
1,140  Spencer Fehlberg JR 33:56
1,309  Kody Gould SO 34:09
National Rank #56 of 312
Mountain Region Rank #8 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.1%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.1%
Top 10 in Regional 92.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Dillon Maggard Colby Wilson Adam Hendrickson Darren Harman Luke Beattie James Withers Tyler Roberts Clay Lambourne Jordan Beutler Spencer Fehlberg Kody Gould
MSU Invite 09/17 952 32:18 33:06 33:08 33:03 33:08 33:32 33:25 32:31 33:24 33:55 33:18
Paul Short Invitational (Gold) 10/01 789 31:45 32:04 32:44 33:22 33:12 32:47 32:59 33:35 33:14 33:31
Steve Reeder Memorial Invitational 10/07 1149 34:06 34:06 33:43
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Open) 10/15 32:40 35:34
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) 10/15 786 31:20 32:11 32:38 33:24 32:53 33:49 34:06
Mountain West Championship 10/28 855 31:36 32:28 33:03 33:03 33:00 34:02 34:57 33:15 33:17
Mountain Region Championships 11/11 769 31:20 32:38 32:38 32:41 32:41 34:11 35:16





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.1% 27.3 664 0.1 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 8.7 256 0.1 0.4 3.8 50.0 26.6 11.8 5.3 1.9 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dillon Maggard 58.7% 76.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3
Colby Wilson 0.3% 185.5
Adam Hendrickson 0.1% 187.5
Darren Harman 0.1% 237.5
Luke Beattie 0.1% 192.5
James Withers 0.1% 239.5
Tyler Roberts 0.2% 251.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dillon Maggard 21.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.4 1.5 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.9 3.1 3.1 3.3 2.9 3.1 4.0 3.4 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.9 2.9 2.6 3.2
Colby Wilson 47.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Adam Hendrickson 57.4
Darren Harman 61.4
Luke Beattie 63.0
James Withers 77.6
Tyler Roberts 77.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 0.1% 50.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 5
6 0.4% 25.0% 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 6
7 3.8% 3.8 7
8 50.0% 50.0 8
9 26.6% 26.6 9
10 11.8% 11.8 10
11 5.3% 5.3 11
12 1.9% 1.9 12
13 0.2% 0.2 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.9 0.0 0.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgia 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0